According to @KobeissiLetter, US rent prices fell 0.2% month over month in November to $1,706, the largest November decline in at least 15 years, marking a fifth straight month of flat or negative changes, while annual rent growth slowed to 0.7% from 1.5% in Q1 2025, according to @KobeissiLetter. Because shelter accounts for roughly one third of the CPI basket, the rent downtrend is material for inflation risk, according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Market rent gauges typically lead CPI shelter by about 6 to 12 months, suggesting potential shelter disinflation into 2026 if the trend persists, according to research from the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Softer shelter inflation tends to ease rate expectations and real yields, a backdrop that has historically coincided with stronger performance in risk assets including BTC and ETH around softer CPI prints, according to Federal Reserve communications on the policy reaction function and Kaiko market data.

According to Edward Dowd, his December 11, 2025 post on X asked whether anyone is advising the President, without offering policy specifics, providing a prompt for traders to assess political-risk exposure across risk assets. Source: Edward Dowd on X https://twitter.com/DowdEdward/status/1999203232611270885 For trading context, elevated US Economic Policy Uncertainty has historically aligned with higher equity volatility and weaker risk-asset performance, as evidenced by the Baker-Bloom-Davis EPU index and the Cboe VIX. Source: policyuncertainty.com; Cboe VIX overview https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/ During risk-off periods, Bitcoin (BTC) has exhibited a stronger correlation with US equities since 2020, indicating heightened sensitivity of crypto to macro shocks and equity drawdowns. Source: IMF blog Crypto Prices Move More in Sync With Stocks, Jan 2022 https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks Tighter financial conditions, a stronger US dollar (DXY), and rising US 10-year real yields have been associated with broad risk-asset pressure, coinciding with notable crypto drawdowns in past cycles. Source: BIS Quarterly Review December 2022 Crypto shocks and retail losses https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt2212b.htm; Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/financial-stability-report.htm Actionable watchlist for political-risk episodes: EPU index, VIX, BTC-Nasdaq 100 correlation, DXY, and 10-year real yields, which historically signaled higher realized volatility and potential de-risking in crypto and equities. Source: policyuncertainty.com; Cboe VIX overview https://www.cboe.com/tradable_products/vix/; IMF blog https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks; FRED real yields DFII10 https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DFII10; FRED broad dollar index DTWEXBGS https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DTWEXBGS

According to @StockMKTNewz, the U.S. trade deficit for September printed at $52.8B, the narrowest since June 2020, a key macro data point for positioning across dollar, rates, equities, and crypto. Source: @StockMKTNewz. This tighter trade gap can influence cross-asset risk appetite and correlation dynamics watched by macro and crypto traders, including BTC and ETH sensitivity to USD and Treasury yield moves. Source: @StockMKTNewz.

According to CoinMarketCap, the Federal Reserve’s rate reduction passed in a 9-3 split, with two members voting against any cut while Fed Governor Stephen Miran pushed for a deeper 50-basis-point move, signaling an unusually contentious decision, source: CoinMarketCap on X, Dec 11, 2025. For trading, a divided FOMC vote is a clear sign of internal policy disagreement that markets track when assessing the path of rates and near-term volatility across USD and crypto risk assets, source: Federal Reserve Board FOMC voting disclosures and post-meeting statements; CME Group market education. Crypto-focused participants commonly monitor the US Dollar Index and 2-year Treasury yields after FOMC outcomes to frame directional risk for BTC and ETH, source: CME Group FedWatch Tool and Treasury market primers. Further official details on the dissents and rationale are provided in the Federal Reserve’s policy statement and forthcoming minutes, which traders use to refine positioning, source: Federal Reserve Board policy statement and meeting minutes.

According to @CNBC, the latest Federal Reserve meeting offered several market-friendly points while warning of policy restraint, as reflected in the CNBC Daily Open headline, which shapes the near-term risk tone across assets. source: CNBC CNBC frames the setup as supportive but cautious, directing traders to focus on interest-rate expectations, Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar—key drivers of risk appetite and liquidity that affect crypto markets including BTC and ETH. source: CNBC

According to @WatcherGuru, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said the Fed believes recent job gains have been overstated by about 60,000 in recent months, aligning with the Fed’s focus on labor data within its dual mandate. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Chair Powell press remarks; Federal Reserve, Monetary Policy and the Dual Mandate. For trading, a weaker underlying labor picture typically increases market-implied odds of policy easing and can pressure front-end Treasury yields and the US dollar, metrics closely watched by BTC and ETH traders for liquidity and risk-sentiment cues. Source: CME Group, FedWatch Tool methodology on interest rate expectations; Coin Metrics, State of the Network research on macro-crypto correlations.

According to @WatcherGuru, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said policy rates will stay the same or be cut a little or a lot, adding that a rate hike is not anyone's base case. Source: Watcher.Guru post on X dated Dec 10, 2025. A pivot away from hikes reduces expected discount rates and tends to lift risk-asset valuations by easing financial conditions. Source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Education resources on how monetary policy affects the economy; Federal Reserve Financial Stability Report. For crypto, periods of falling U.S. yields have coincided with stronger performance and higher beta versus equities, with BTC and ETH showing increased correlation to risk-on moves. Source: IMF Global Financial Stability Report 2023; Kaiko Research correlation analyses 2023–2024. Traders can watch the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield and DXY for confirmation, as declines in these indicators have aligned with crypto upside during prior dovish shifts. Source: CME Group education on interest rates and FX; Coin Metrics market data on BTC sensitivity to yields.

According to the source, BTC and ETH showed choppy price action after the Federal Reserve announced a rate cut in its latest FOMC statement, prompting immediate volatility across major crypto pairs (source: Federal Reserve). Lower policy rates typically compress front-end Treasury yields and can weigh on the U.S. dollar, conditions that have historically coincided with improved risk appetite in cryptocurrencies (source: Federal Reserve; source: Bank for International Settlements). For confirmation of risk-on follow-through, traders are monitoring DXY and the U.S. 2-year Treasury yield alongside BTC and ETH perpetual funding and open interest into the daily and weekly closes (source: TradingView; source: major crypto derivatives exchange dashboards). A constructive setup would be a BTC and ETH daily close above their 20-day moving averages with rising open interest on neutral-to-positive funding, while a DXY rebound and a bounce in 2-year yields would flag risk-off and potential downside continuation in crypto (source: TradingView; source: major crypto derivatives exchange dashboards).

According to @AltcoinDaily, the Federal Reserve has cut interest rates by 25 bps, signaling an easier policy stance that can shift liquidity and risk appetite across crypto markets, especially BTC and ETH (source: @AltcoinDaily on Twitter, Dec 10, 2025). Traders should focus on the FOMC statement and projections to gauge the forward path that drives USD, front-end yields, and crypto volatility; watch DXY, U.S. 2y/10y Treasury yields, BTC spot-futures basis, and funding rates for transmission of the policy move into price action (sources: Federal Reserve Board FOMC Statements and Summary of Economic Projections; Federal Reserve H.15; ICE U.S. Dollar Index; CME Bitcoin Futures data).

According to @StockMKTNewz, CNBC published a side-by-side redline comparing the latest FOMC statement to the October statement, making it easy to see policy language shifts that matter for markets, source: @StockMKTNewz; CNBC. The visualization marks text removed from October in red with a strikethrough, text added in the new statement in red with an underline, and unchanged text in black, source: @StockMKTNewz; CNBC. This change map helps traders quickly assess directional shifts in Fed guidance that can recalibrate rate expectations and move Treasury yields, the US dollar, equities, and crypto assets such as BTC and ETH, source: CNBC. The post was shared on December 10, 2025, and points to CNBC’s comparison as the reference for the updated FOMC language versus October, source: @StockMKTNewz; CNBC. Traders seeking exact wording should verify the changes against the official Federal Reserve statement for this meeting before positioning in rate-sensitive assets and crypto, source: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.

According to @CNBC, the Federal Reserve lowered its key interest rate on Wednesday and signaled a tougher road ahead for additional reductions amid a split over policy priorities. According to @CNBC, the combination of a rate cut with cautious guidance increases uncertainty around the pace of future easing, a key input for pricing the US dollar, Treasury yields, and liquidity-sensitive assets including BTC and ETH.

According to @CNBC, the Federal Reserve approved a third interest rate cut with a divided committee and signaled a slower pace of easing ahead. According to @CNBC, officials’ guidance points to a more gradual policy path than earlier meetings, centering market focus on the trajectory of future cuts. According to @CNBC, traders are watching the evolving rate path as a key input for risk sentiment and liquidity conditions that influence cryptocurrencies such as BTC and ETH.

According to @CNBC, Donald Trump said he 'heard' Biden's Federal Reserve appointments were signed by autopen and instructed an aide to investigate, as reported in a CNBC post on X dated Dec 10, 2025, source: CNBC. The post provided no evidence or details on which appointments, indicating the assertion was unverified at the time of publication, source: CNBC. Traders should treat this as headline risk around perceived Fed leadership legitimacy and monitor USD, front-end Treasury yields, and crypto majors like BTC and ETH for potential volatility, source: CNBC.

According to @WhiteHouse, President Donald J. Trump said his highest priority is Making America Affordable Again and that Democrats gave high prices and we are bringing those prices down, posted on Dec 10, 2025. Source: @WhiteHouse. According to @WhiteHouse, the statement offers no specific policy measures, targets, or timelines beyond a commitment to lower prices, providing no immediate details for markets to price. Source: @WhiteHouse. According to @WhiteHouse, traders should treat this as headline risk and monitor intraday reactions in the U.S. dollar index, 2-year and 10-year Treasury yields, and major crypto assets like BTC and ETH around the statement timing to gauge sensitivity to White House inflation messaging. Source: @WhiteHouse. According to @WhiteHouse, the post does not mention cryptocurrencies directly, so actionable signals likely depend on subsequent official releases or executive actions that clarify the policy path before positioning in USD, rates, BTC, or ETH. Source: @WhiteHouse.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Citi's Head of US Personal Banking said consumer spending remains robust and resilient, signaling firm demand that traders may treat as growth-supportive into year-end, source: @StockMKTNewz. For macro positioning, robust spending can reinforce expectations of stickier inflation and a higher-for-longer policy path, a setup that typically supports front-end Treasury yields and the US dollar (DXY), source: @StockMKTNewz. In equities, this backdrop tends to favor banks and card/payment networks (strong volume, better credit performance) while pressuring long-duration tech if yields rise, source: @StockMKTNewz. For crypto, a stronger DXY and higher real yields are commonly headwinds for BTC and ETH in the near term, while risk-on tone could stabilize if markets fade rate fears; traders may lean defensive on BTC and rotate on strength until data confirm or refute the spending view, source: @StockMKTNewz. Key confirmations to watch following this comment include upcoming US retail sales and CPI prints as catalysts for DXY, UST yields, and BTC volatility, source: @StockMKTNewz.

According to @charliebilello, the US national debt has risen by $2.2 trillion since the debt ceiling was raised in July, highlighting continued rapid federal borrowing (source: Charlie Bilello post on X). Larger deficits typically translate into increased Treasury issuance, and higher federal debt levels are empirically associated with upward pressure on long-term interest rates via a higher term premium (source: U.S. Department of the Treasury auction communications and Quarterly Refunding materials; Congressional Budget Office analysis on federal debt and interest rates, 2019). Rising yields and tighter financial conditions tend to weigh on risk assets, while crypto has increasingly moved in sync with equities during risk-off episodes, making Treasury market dynamics directly relevant for BTC and broader digital assets (source: IMF Global Financial Stability analysis on crypto–equity comovement, 2022). For trading, monitor 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, Treasury auction sizes and bid-to-cover ratios, and the U.S. Dollar Index DXY; sustained increases in yields or dollar strength have coincided with weaker crypto performance during tightening phases (source: Federal Reserve H.15 for Treasury yields; U.S. Department of the Treasury auction calendar and results; ICE data for DXY; IMF Global Financial Stability analysis on crypto–equity comovement, 2022).

According to Charlie Bilello, the percentage of US workers quitting their jobs fell to 1.8%, the lowest since May 2020, indicating the labor market continues to weaken (source: Charlie Bilello on X, Dec 9, 2025). A lower quits rate reflects fewer voluntary job changes and softer worker confidence under the BLS JOLTS framework, a macro signal closely watched by traders for positioning across risk assets (source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Standard Chartered now expects the US Federal Reserve to cut rates by 25 bps this week, reversing its previous forecast of no rate cut, source: @StockMKTNewz. This update provides a clearer baseline policy scenario for the imminent decision window and is time-sensitive for event-driven positioning, source: @StockMKTNewz. The post did not include rationale, market pricing, or asset-specific guidance, source: @StockMKTNewz. Crypto market participants tracking BTC and ETH can treat the Fed decision timing as scheduled event risk this week, source: @StockMKTNewz.

According to @CNBC, Wall Street is turning to the Federal Reserve next week for more clues on the policy path ahead. source: CNBC Traders will focus on the FOMC statement, the press conference, and any Summary of Economic Projections updates to reassess the rate outlook and risk positioning. source: Federal Reserve Policy signals from the Fed influence financial conditions via Treasury yields and the U.S. dollar, which in turn shape equity index direction and sector leadership into and after the meeting. source: Federal Reserve For crypto markets, desks are watching for headline-driven volatility because shifts in yields and dollar liquidity around Fed communications can affect risk appetite in BTC and ETH. source: Federal Reserve

According to @StockMKTNewz, the September Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report has been released, flagging an immediate macro catalyst for rates, equities, and crypto positioning, source: https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1996958114361344302. The official PCE price index and core PCE are published by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis; traders should pull the headline and core MoM/YoY prints directly from BEA to calibrate inflation momentum, source: https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index. The Federal Reserve targets PCE inflation in its policy framework, making this release pivotal for rate expectations and financial conditions, source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/strategy.htm. To translate the print into implied rate-path probabilities and front-end yield sensitivity, use the CME FedWatch Tool and corresponding Fed funds futures term structure, source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html. A hotter-than-expected PCE historically tightens financial conditions and pressures risk assets, while a cooler print tends to ease yields and support beta, with crypto’s correlation to equities elevated per IMF research, source: https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/11/crypto-prices-move-more-in-sync-with-stocks-posing-new-risks. For trading, watch UST 2Y/10Y, DXY, and BTC, ETH intraday volatility around the release window as macro surprises drive cross-asset flows, sources: BEA release page https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index and Federal Reserve policy framework https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/strategy.htm.